The Ephemeric

Welcome back to The Ephemeric. It's that time of year again where this blog astounds you with its super accurate Oscar predictions. I would have liked to post these sooner, but sadly work has been such that I have not left my desk in about four months, so instead we will need to make do with a very last minute post this year. 

I'm busy, you're busy, I won't waste your time. Please find below predictions for the big night. You may not have seen the big films this year, or be familiar with the latest hype tearing through Hollywood; if so consider the following a crib sheet for what lies ahead tonight, and perhaps even a sneak peek at who might just be walking away with the big prize.


Best Picture

Nominations:

• The Father 
• Judas and the Black Messiah 
• Mank 
• Minari 
• Nomadland 
• Promising Young Woman 
• Sound of Metal
• The Trial of the Chicago 7 

• Thomas Vinterberg – Another Round
• David Fincher – Mank
• Lee Isaac Chung – Minari
• Chloé Zhao – Nomadland
• Emerald Fennell – Promising Young Woman

• Riz Ahmed – Sound of Metal as Ruben Stone
• Chadwick Boseman – Ma Rainey's Black Bottom as Levee Green
• Anthony Hopkins – The Father as Anthony
• Gary Oldman – Mank as Herman J. Mankiewicz
• Steven Yeun – Minari as Jacob Yi

• Viola Davis – Ma Rainey's Black Bottom as Ma Rainey
• Andra Day – The United States vs. Billie Holiday as Billie Holiday
• Vanessa Kirby – Pieces of a Woman as Martha Weiss
• Frances McDormand – Nomadland as Fern
• Carey Mulligan – Promising Young Woman as Cassandra "Cassie" Thomas

• Sacha Baron Cohen – The Trial of the Chicago 7 as Abbie Hoffman
• Daniel Kaluuya – Judas and the Black Messiah as Fred Hampton
• Leslie Odom Jr. – One Night in Miami... as Sam Cooke
• Paul Raci – Sound of Metal as Joe
• Lakeith Stanfield – Judas and the Black Messiah as William "Bill" O'Neal

• Maria Bakalova – Borat Subsequent Moviefilm as Tutar Sagdiyev
• Glenn Close – Hillbilly Elegy as Bonnie "Mamaw" Vance
• Olivia Colman – The Father as Anne
• Amanda Seyfried – Mank as Marion Davies
• Youn Yuh-jung – Minari as Soon-ja
 

• Judas and the Black Messiah – Screenplay by Will Berson and Shaka King; Story by Berson, King, Keith Lucas and Kenny Lucas
• Minari – Lee Isaac Chung
• Promising Young Woman – Emerald Fennell
• Sound of Metal – Screenplay by Abraham Marder and Darius Marder; Story by Derek Cianfrance and D. Marder
• The Trial of the Chicago 7 – Aaron Sorkin

• Borat Subsequent Moviefilm – Screenplay by Sacha Baron Cohen, Peter Baynham, Jena Friedman, Anthony Hines, Lee Kern, Dan Mazer, Erica Rivinoja and Dan Swimer; Story by Baron Cohen, Hines, Nina Pedrad and Swimer; Based on the character by Baron Cohen
• The Father – Christopher Hampton and Florian Zeller, based on the play by Zeller
• Nomadland – Chloé Zhao, based on the book by Jessica Bruder
• One Night in Miami... – Kemp Powers, based on his play
• The White Tiger – Ramin Bahrani, based on the novel by Aravind Adiga